Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.539004 4.230732 5.002863 5.925849 6.996218 8.195391 9.637429
2025-08-17 2.429630 3.277667 4.325440 5.703959 7.457256 9.598996 12.397693
2025-08-24 1.840384 2.747154 3.965430 5.697221 8.066296 11.160181 15.465965
2025-08-31 1.455600 2.373835 3.700110 5.713201 8.639206 12.675078 18.584427
2025-09-07 1.161644 2.054506 3.431535 5.647485 9.044297 13.956378 21.467594
2025-09-14 0.900997 1.724256 3.076567 5.376616 9.081837 14.678540 23.581950
2025-09-21 0.747004 1.535112 2.904754 5.350814 9.465279 15.917569 26.533969
2025-09-28 0.625026 1.375110 2.750233 5.320911 9.821400 17.125602 29.517283
2025-10-05 0.576189 1.342647 2.811903 5.664171 10.823505 19.433170 34.403579
2025-10-12 0.513418 1.268491 2.782650 5.835094 11.538180 21.319003 38.739571
2025-10-19 0.468033 1.221295 2.796174 6.082741 12.406575 23.522746 43.753009
2025-10-26 0.404832 1.120630 2.685610 6.073639 12.797664 24.925769 47.497288
2025-11-02 0.331448 0.981097 2.474695 5.843010 12.760002 25.592806 50.064198
2025-11-09 0.272310 0.862178 2.287857 5.634804 12.740241 26.286622 52.729491
2025-11-16 0.235888 0.793586 2.203032 5.631433 13.124790 27.752997 56.890137
2025-11-23 0.205970 0.735329 2.132312 5.648247 13.549015 29.322009 61.342358
2025-11-30 0.176453 0.670176 2.032661 5.583489 13.790423 30.548988 65.225147
2025-12-07 0.142986 0.582658 1.858546 5.315428 13.557477 30.810003 67.258793
2025-12-14 0.124035 0.537004 1.787866 5.289912 13.859719 32.171765 71.530634
2025-12-21 0.107622 0.495085 1.719634 5.260317 14.147423 33.520821 75.858731
2025-12-28 0.104228 0.500252 1.789303 5.600135 15.332922 36.840602 84.375676
2026-01-04 0.096129 0.485002 1.795132 5.769353 16.125027 39.370019 91.412839
2026-01-11 0.090616 0.478586 1.827228 6.014539 17.123687 42.411192 99.682464